Overview
About 321 wordsAbout 1 min
This summary compares major financial evaluation methods for adaptive (agile) and linear (rigid) business projects. Result: Modern Real Options are most suitable for adaptive projects and are backward compatible with linear projects. NPV or IRR are well suitable for linear projects.
Modern Real Options | Traditional Real Options | Monte Carlo Analysis | NPV / IRR | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Usage | Business Case, Portfolio Prioritization, Annual Budgeting | Business Case, Portfolio Prioritization, Annual Budgeting | Sensitivity analysis | Business Case, Portfolio Prioritization, Annual Budgeting |
LINEAR Waterfall / V-Cycle | ✅ | - | ✅ | ✅ |
ADAPTIVE Waterfall / V-Cycle | ✅ | ✅ | - | - |
SAFe®, Scrum at Scale, LeSS | ✅ | ✅ | - | - |
Unlimited Complexity | ✅ | - | - | - |
Project-specific Uncertainty appreciation | ✅ | ✅ | ✅ | - |
Appreciation of Adaptability | ✅ | ✅ | - | - |
Easy Expression of Business Assumptions | ✅ | - | ✅ | ✅ |
Financial Valuation of LINEAR projects | ✅ | - | - | ✅ |
Financial Valuation of ADAPTIVE projects | ✅ | ✅ | - | - |
Easy, fast, and inexpensive Usage | ✅ | - | ✅ | ✅ |
Low requirement of Financial Expertise | ✅ | - | ✅ | ✅ |
Tooling | ROC software | EXCEL plug-ins | EXCEL plug-ins. | EXCEL |
LPM in SAFe® becomes straightforward, rational and fast
Modern Real Options allow the financial evaluation of Epics, BAVS, and entire portfolios in SAFe®. Indeed, each PI can be represented as an option on the next PI or on a business outcome.
This evaluation capability is a breakthrough for LPM and portfolio prioritization: The CoD and thus WSJF metrics can be calculated financially, in a rational and fast way. No more need for proxy variables. LPM becomes straightforward.